Deliverable Flexible Ramping Products Considering Spatiotemporal Correlation of Wind Generation and Demand Uncertainties

Flexible ramping products (FRPs) have been implemented by several independent system operators (ISOs) to procure adequate flexible resources. Currently, system operators estimate the system level ramping requirements ignoring the spatiotemporal correlations among various uncertainty sources. This leads to overestimates/underestimates of ramping requirements. In addition, the explicit FRPs model considers only the generation ramping limitation. Other security constraints, such as the transmission limits, are not considered, which leads to deliverability issues of FRPs. To deal with these shortcomings of current FRPs models, this paper proposes a deliverable FRPs based on a distributionally-robust chance constrained multi-interval optimal power flow (DRCC-MIOPF) considering the spatiotemporal correlation of wind power and demand uncertainties endogenously. Furthermore, an asymmetrical affine policy (AAP) is proposed to leverage generation flexibility and mitigate the uncertainty in different directions. The pricing mechanism of the FRPs is proposed using a novel uncertainty-contained locational marginal price (U_LMP) which is derived from the proposed AAP-DRCC-MIOPF model. New components representing the price of FRPs are added into the traditional LMP formulation. Finally, the PJM 5-bus, IEEE 39-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems case studies validate the proposed FRPs approach. The payment of uncertain demand and wind power on FRPs are analyzed.