Skip to main navigation Skip to search Skip to main content

Impact of Awareness Programs on Cholera Dynamics: Two Modeling Approaches

  • University of Tennessee at Chattanooga
  • Washington State University Pullman
  • Shanghai Normal University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

66 Scopus citations

Abstract

We propose two differential equation-based models to investigate the impact of awareness programs on cholera dynamics. The first model represents the disease transmission rates as decreasing functions of the number of awareness programs, whereas the second model divides the susceptible individuals into two distinct classes depending on their awareness/unawareness of the risk of infection. We study the essential dynamical properties of each model, using both analytical and numerical approaches. We find that the two models, though closely related, exhibit significantly different dynamical behaviors. Namely, the first model follows regular threshold dynamics while rich dynamical behaviors such as backward bifurcation may arise from the second one. Our results highlight the importance of validating key modeling assumptions in the development and selection of mathematical models toward practical application.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2109-2131
Number of pages23
JournalBulletin of Mathematical Biology
Volume79
Issue number9
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 1 2017

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Awareness program
  • Backward bifurcation
  • Basic reproduction number
  • Behavior change
  • Cholera
  • Threshold dynamics

Cite this